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Variazioni giornaliere provincia di Bolzano COVID-19
Grafico 1 variazioni giornaliere provincia di Bolzano COVID-19...
Nota! Nuovi casi (e andamento) e Variazione positivi subiscono l'aumento del numero di tamponi e controlli effettuati nella seconda parte, quindi la prima ondata e la seconda non sono paragonabili
Nuovi casi (e andamento MM7)Nuovi casi che si aggiungono ai casi totali e al totale positivi, numero sempre positivo, senza contare le uscite, le guarigioni e i decessi. L'andamento MM7 è una media mobile (rolling average) a sette giorni con offset a 2 e fade-in/fade-out (in pratica è la media dei cinque giorni precedenti e dei due successivi, quando disponibili), un arrotondamento dei "Nuovi casi" per eliminare i picchi settimanali ed evidenziare l'andamento. Gli ultimi due valori risultano più "pesanti" (l'ultimo punto fa media non di 7 ma di cinque valori) e quindi la curvatura è accentuata. Da prendere con prudenza sugli ultimi due valori.
NOTE SUI DATI COVID19 RELATIVI ALL'AREA, dalla Protezione Civile
Controlla le note per spiegare alcuni picchi inusuali dovuti a ricalcolo o mancata registrazione. Altri movimenti anomali possono essere spiegati con spostamenti da In Definizione/Aggionamento all'interno di una regione
Andamento nuovi casi (MME)Media mobile esponenziale (EMA in inglese) dei "Nuovi casi" per evidenziare l'andamento da guardare insieme ad MM7. Quando MME sta sopra a MM7 la tendenza è di discesa, viceversa in salita. Quando MME e MM7 si incrociano sta avvenedo un cambio di tendenza.

Percentuali provincia di Bolzano COVID-19
Grafico percentuali provincia di Bolzano COVID-19...
Percentuale nuovi casi (Non è l'indice Rt/R0) Nelle regioni, rapporto percentuale tra nuovi casi (casi che si aggiungono al totale positivi, numero sempre positivo, senza contare le uscite) e totale positivi COVID-19 del giorno precedente.
Nelle province, il totale positivi attuali non è disponibile, usiamo il totale casi, che rende questo indice NON AFFIDABILE man mano che il totale positivi attuali si stacca dal totale cumulativo di tutti i casi.
Andamento perc. nuovi casi (MM7)Ammorbidimento (Media Mobile a 7 giorni) della percentuale di nuovi casi, possibile indicatore dell'andamento della "velocità di contagio": curva ammorbidita che rappresenta la percentuale di nuovi contagiati rispetto ai positivi COVID precedenti. In salita=pessimo (esponenziale in crescita), orizzontale=male (esponenziale), in discesa=bene (a zero= nessun contagio, molto bene). Come sopra, poco affidabile nelle province, per mancanza del dato sul totale positivi
Andamento perc. nuovi casi (MME)Media Mobile Esponenziale della percentuale di nuovi casi, da guardare insieme alla MM7. Se la MME sta sotto alla MM7 la tendenza è in crescita, viceversa in discesa. Quando MME e MM7 si incrociano sta avvenendo un cambio di tendenza.

Variazione delle percentuali provincia di Bolzano COVID-19
Grafico della variazione delle percentuali provincia di Bolzano COVID-19...
Queste sono le variazioni (derivate prime) delle percentuali precedenti. Quando sono a zero, le percentuali restano costanti, quando queste sono negative le percentuali stanno calando, altrimenti (positive) indicano una salita.
Variazione della perc. casi (MM7) Variazione della percentuale di nuovi casi rispetto ai casi preesistenti. Può indicare quanto la "contagiosità" dei soggetti positivi verso i nuovi stia variando. Gli effetti su casi e ospedalizzati si vedono molto dopo, ma può essere un indicatore per capire, se misure di distanziamento (sia imposte che istintive) prese 7-15gg prima, stiano avendo effetto. Se è zero = percentuale costante = casi in cresita esponenziale. Valore negativo = buono, la percentuale di contagio sta scendendo (prima o poi arriverebbe a zero).

Valori cumulativi COVID-19 provincia di Bolzano
Grafico valori cumulativi COVID-19 provincia di Bolzano...
Nota! Totale casi subisce l'aumento del numero di tamponi e controlli effettuati nella seconda parte, quindi la prima ondata e la seconda non sono paragonabili.
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Tabella dati provincia di Bolzano COVID-19
GiornoTotale casiNoteNote testNote casiTotale positivi test antigenico rapidoTamponi test molecolareTamponi test antigenico rapidoCodice nuts 1Codice nuts 2Codice nuts 3Dose2 pregressa infPrima doseSeconda doseTerza doseUna dose a guaritiNuovi casiAndamento nuovi casi (MME)Percentuale nuovi casi %Andamento perc. nuovi casi % (MME)Variazione della perc. casiAnd. nuovi casi (MM7)Andamento perc. nuovi casi % (MM7)Variazione della perc. casi (MM7)
2020-02-240--------0000000--0--0
2020-02-251--------0000010.15--0--0
2020-02-26---------00000----0--0
2020-02-27---------00000----0--0
2020-02-28---------00000----0--0
2020-02-29---------00000----0--0
2020-03-01---------00000----0--0
2020-03-02---------00000----0--0
2020-03-03---------00000----0--0
2020-03-04---------00000----01.333333-0
2020-03-05---------00000----02.251250
2020-03-064--------0000033--0--0
2020-03-079--------0000053.31251250--0
2020-03-08---------00000-----7.6--
2020-03-09---------00000----012.5111.1842110
2020-03-1038--------000002929--014.85714387.0116960
2020-03-1175--------000003730.297.36842197.368421017.85714370.3068490
2020-03-12104--------000002930.0238.66666788.563158-58.70175424.57142963.925479-4.192982
2020-03-13125--------000002128.66720.19230878.30753-18.47435928.57142956.257745-5.51258
2020-03-14173--------000004831.5669538.472.32140118.20769233.14285750.811961-4.21203
2020-03-15204--------000003131.48190817.91907564.161052-20.48092536.14285735.918659-5.674953
2020-03-16241--------000003732.30962118.13725557.2574820.218184326.181688-5.659369
2020-03-17291--------000005034.96317820.74688851.7808932.60963347.42857122.937514-5.472967
2020-03-18376--------000008542.46870129.20962248.3952038.46273460.42857123.722623-4.868486
2020-03-19436--------000006045.09839615.95744743.529539-13.2521756420.139933-5.81507
2020-03-20548--------0000011255.13363725.68807340.8533199.73062667.71428618.891314-5.120025
2020-03-21621--------000007357.81359113.32116836.723497-12.3669056917.269515-6.003375
2020-03-22678--------000005757.6915539.17874432.591784-4.1424247015.430378-6.299263
2020-03-23724--------000004655.937826.78466128.720715-2.39408368.85714312.666025-6.470269
2020-03-24781--------000005756.0971477.87292825.5935471.08826767.14285711.185591-6.392535
2020-03-25858--------000007759.2325759.85915523.2333881.986227659.045352-6.250662
2020-03-26906--------000004857.5476895.59440620.587541-4.26474969.7142868.652084-2.362304
2020-03-271003--------000009763.46553510.70640219.105375.11199676.5714298.693405-0.677565
2020-03-281109--------0000010669.84570510.56829517.824809-0.13810785.8571439.030358-1.987979
2020-03-291214--------0000010575.1188499.46798916.571286-1.10030684.2857148.40161-0.603649
2020-03-301325--------0000011180.5010229.14332815.457092-0.324661807.482896-0.642423
2020-03-311371--------000004675.3258693.47169813.659283-5.6716381.8571437.298243-1.233942
2020-04-011418--------000004771.0769883.42815512.124614-0.04354379.4285716.54148-1.841533
2020-04-021479--------000006169.565444.30183410.9511970.873679695.334115-0.832544
2020-04-031559--------000008071.1306245.4090610.1198761.10722661.4285714.448164-1.448501
2020-04-041592--------000003365.411032.1167428.919406-3.29231856.7142863.819764-0.800316
2020-04-051644--------000005263.3993763.2663328.0714451.1495962.8571434.062151-0.422315
2020-04-061722--------000007865.5894694.7445267.5724071.47819459.5714293.761734-0.145724
2020-04-071811--------000008969.1010495.1684097.2118070.42388360.5714293.676575-0.19318
2020-04-081835--------000002462.3358921.3252356.328822-3.84317456.5714293.294213-0.609566
2020-04-091903--------000006863.1855083.7057225.9353572.38048752.1428573.006436-0.134906
2020-04-101955--------000005261.5076822.7325285.454932-0.97319464.8571433.56909-0.569562
2020-04-111957--------00000252.5815290.1023024.652038-2.630226613.23857-0.747571
2020-04-122098 dc-IT-0001--------0000014165.84437.2049055.0349687.10260353.2857142.732892-0.161649
2020-04-132149--------000005163.6176552.4308874.644356-4.77401855.5714292.805216-0.47946
2020-04-142184--------000003559.3250071.6286644.192002-0.802223522.552034-0.131645
2020-04-152224--------000004056.4262561.8315023.8379270.20283848.7142862.34442-0.114047
2020-04-162267--------000004354.4123171.9334533.5522560.10195152.5714292.510243-0.16917
2020-04-172296--------000002950.600471.2792243.211301-0.65422940.2857141.818912-0.294988
2020-04-182325--------000002947.3603991.2630662.919066-0.016158351.555676-0.060977
2020-04-192380--------000005548.5063392.3655912.8360451.10252532.2857141.418487-0.064339
2020-04-202394--------000001443.3303890.5882352.498873-1.77735627.4285711.19241-0.296878
2020-04-212410--------000001639.230830.6683382.2242930.080103241.028549-0.321434
2020-04-222416--------00000634.2462060.2489631.927993-0.41937522.8571430.969006-0.076877
2020-04-232435--------000001931.9592750.7864241.7567580.53746121.5714290.904901-0.208521
2020-04-242456--------000002130.3153840.8624231.6226080.07599914.4285710.595808-0.133579
2020-04-252476--------000002028.7680760.8143321.501366-0.04809114.5714290.5981450.050859
2020-04-262481--------00000525.2028650.2019391.306452-0.61239312.5714290.514115-0.500212
2020-04-272496--------000001523.6724350.6045951.2011740.402656130.530018-0.130449
2020-04-282498--------00000220.421570.0801281.033017-0.52446711.8571430.480354-0.11061
2020-04-292507--------00000918.7083340.3602880.9321080.2801610.2857140.413885-0.105087
2020-04-302518--------000001117.5520840.4387710.8581070.0784838.4285710.337109-0.106763
2020-05-012528--------000001016.4192720.3971410.788962-0.041637.8571430.313896-0.063006
2020-05-022535--------00000715.0063810.2768990.712153-0.1202426.4285710.255691-0.070441
2020-05-032536--------00000112.9054240.0394480.611247-0.2374516.2857140.249866-0.166153
2020-05-042541--------00000511.719610.1971610.5491340.1577135.1428570.204016-0.027934
2020-05-052542--------00000110.1116690.0393550.472667-0.1578064.8571430.191894-0.044927
2020-05-062543--------0000018.7449180.0393390.407668-1.6E-54.2857140.168746-0.014973
2020-05-072552--------0000098.7831810.3539130.3996050.3145744.5714290.179452-0.030894
2020-05-082558--------0000068.3657030.235110.374931-0.1188034.7142860.184947-0.044808
2020-05-092567--------0000098.4608480.3518370.3714660.1167274.4285710.173463-0.033035
2020-05-102569--------0000027.4917210.0779120.327433-0.273925---0.008859
2020-05-112572--------0000036.8179630.1167770.2958350.0388654.714286--0.034844
2020-05-12---------00000-----50.184485-
2020-05-132575--------0000033--0--0.002618
2020-05-142578--------00000330.1165050.1165050---0.017394
2020-05-15---------00000-----4.142857--
2020-05-16---------00000----03.4285710.1844-0.023
2020-05-172581--------0000033--02.8571430.161505-0.020026
2020-05-182582--------0000012.70.0387450.0387450---0.011437
2020-05-192587--------0000053.0450.1936480.061980.154903--0.016588
2020-05-20---------00000-----3--
2020-05-21---------00000----0--0.005323
2020-05-222590--------0000033--03-0.016595
2020-05-23---------00000----0--0.016596
2020-05-242593--------0000033--0---0.005874
2020-05-25---------00000----0--0.002612
2020-05-26---------00000----02.857143--0.005726
2020-05-27---------00000----0--0.013841
2020-05-282595--------0000022--02.571429-0.011064
2020-05-29---------00000----02.2857140.1334210.011064
2020-05-302596--------0000011--02.2857140.0886590.011064
2020-05-312597--------00000110.0385210.0385210--0.011064
2020-06-012598--------00000110.0385060.038519-1.5E-5--0.011063
2020-06-02---------00000--------
2020-06-03---------00000----01.714286-0.011063
2020-06-04---------00000----01.4285710.083025-1.0E-6
2020-06-052599--------0000011--01.4285710.082827-1.0E-6
2020-06-062600--------00000110.0384760.03847601.2857140.071671-1.0E-6
2020-06-072603--------0000031.30.1153850.0500120.076909--0.005492
2020-06-082604--------0000011.2550.0384170.048273-0.076968---5.0E-6
2020-06-09---------00000-----1.428571--
2020-06-10---------00000----01.5714290.0771-5.0E-6
2020-06-112606--------0000022--01.7142860.060391-5.0E-6
2020-06-122608--------00000220.0767460.076746020.071309-5.0E-6
2020-06-132610--------00000220.0766870.076737-5.9E-5---1.0E-5
2020-06-142613--------0000032.150.1149430.0824680.038256--0.002723
2020-06-15---------00000--------
2020-06-16---------00000----0--0.002723
2020-06-17---------00000----02.142857-0.002723
2020-06-18---------00000----02.1428570.0821970.002724
2020-06-192615--------0000022--02.5714290.0985270.002724
2020-06-202618--------0000032.150.1147230.11472303.8571430.1419760.002724
2020-06-212622--------0000042.42750.1527880.1204330.038065--0.005443
2020-06-222633--------00000113.7133750.4195270.1652970.2667393.714286-0.024496
2020-06-23---------00000--------
2020-06-242634--------0000011--0--0.019002
2020-06-25---------00000----03.714286-0.0245
2020-06-26---------00000----03.4285710.1419070.0245
2020-06-272636--------0000022--03.4285710.1417780.0245
2020-06-282637--------0000011.850.0379360.0379360--0.0245
2020-06-292639--------0000021.87250.0758440.0436220.0379083.428571-0.027212
2020-06-30---------00000--------
2020-07-012642--------0000033--0--0.024479
2020-07-02---------00000----03.285714-0.024479
2020-07-03---------00000----020.1416250.024479
2020-07-042645--------0000033--0--0.024479
2020-07-052647--------0000022.850.0756140.07561402-0.024479
2020-07-06---------00000-----20.135994-
2020-07-072648--------0000011--02.2857140.1357780.024479
2020-07-082650--------0000021.150.0755290.07552902.7142860.1408750.02176
2020-07-092653--------0000031.42750.1132080.0811810.0376792.7142860.0970660.005399
2020-07-102658--------0000051.9633750.1884660.0972740.07525830.118490.010775
2020-07-112661--------0000032.1188690.1128670.099613-0.0755993.7142860.1451640.005375
2020-07-122666--------0000052.5510380.1878990.1128560.0750323.7142860.1397070.010734
2020-07-132673--------0000073.2183830.2625660.1353120.0746673.8571430.1449440.016067
2020-07-142674--------0000012.8856250.0374110.120627-0.2251553.5714290.134108-1.5E-5
2020-07-152677--------0000032.9027810.1121910.1193620.074783.4285710.1285220.002619
2020-07-162678--------0000012.6173640.0373550.107061-0.0748363.1428570.117725-0.002727
2020-07-172682--------0000042.824760.1493650.1134060.112012.5714290.0962070.005274
2020-07-182683--------0000012.5510460.0372860.101988-0.112079---0.002732
2020-07-192684--------0000012.3183890.0372720.092281-1.4E-51.714286--0.002733
2020-07-20---------00000--------
2020-07-212685--------0000011--01.714286--0.002733
2020-07-22---------00000----01.4285710.064016-0.002733
2020-07-232686--------0000011--02.1428570.090571-0.002733
2020-07-242687--------00000110.037230.0372302.2857140.101067-0.005424
2020-07-252693--------0000061.750.2232970.065140.1860672.4285710.1063210.002491
2020-07-262698--------0000052.23750.1856670.083219-0.03763--0.005203
2020-07-272700--------0000022.2018750.0741290.081856-0.111538---0.008123
2020-07-28- "Positivi: 2.692 (oggi + 2 nuovi casi di nuovi positivi rispetto al giorno precedente ( 1 Silandro e 1 Merano, a cui vanno sottratti -10 casi di persone che a seguito di un controllo dei dati sono state conteggiate 2 volte ); quindi il dato dei positivi aggiornato da oggi è 2.700 + 2 -10 = 2.692 "--------00000-----2.571429--
2020-07-29- "OGGI : + 5 nuovi casi di nuovi positivi rispetto al giorno precedente ( 2 Bronzolo, 1 Merano, 1 Sesto e 1 Comune Sconosciuto) a cui vanno sottratti -1 caso di persona che a seguito di un controllo dei dati è stata conteggiata 2 volte ); quindi il dato dei positivi aggiornato ad oggi è 2.692 + 5 -1 = 2.696."--------00000----04.5714290.164289-0.013457
2020-07-302702--------0000022--05.5714290.2010260.002626
2020-07-312717--------00000153.950.5551440.55514405.8571430.211429-0.002716
2020-08-012725--------0000084.55750.2944420.516039-0.2607025.8571430.23753-0.015992
2020-08-022728--------0000034.3238750.1100920.455147-0.1843560.236982-0.03716
2020-08-032734--------0000064.5752940.2199410.4198660.1098496.4285710.236527-0.021308
2020-08-042740--------0000064.7890.2194590.389805-0.0004827.8571430.288388-0.021342
2020-08-052745--------0000054.820650.1824820.358706-0.0369776.2857140.229808-0.023983
2020-08-062757--------00000125.8975520.4371580.3704740.2546765.8571430.213616-0.005792
2020-08-072761--------0000045.6129190.1450850.336666-0.2920736.4285710.234042-0.026654
2020-08-082766--------0000055.5209820.1810940.313330.0360095.7142860.207773-0.024082
2020-08-092773--------0000075.7428340.2530730.3042910.07197950.181572-0.032231
2020-08-102774--------0000015.0314090.0360620.264057-0.2170114.8571430.176095-0.045044
2020-08-112775--------0000014.4266980.0360490.229856-1.3E-53.4285710.123925-0.037078
2020-08-122779--------0000044.3626930.1441440.2169990.1080953.2857140.118609-0.029357
2020-08-132781--------0000024.0082890.0719680.195244-0.0721763.8571430.138921-0.034513
2020-08-142784--------0000033.8570460.1078750.1821390.0359074.1428570.148801-0.031948
2020-08-152793--------0000094.6284890.3232760.203310.2154014.2857140.1538460.00206
2020-08-162802--------0000095.2842160.3222340.221148-0.001042--0.015153
2020-08-172804--------0000024.7915830.0713780.198683-0.2508565.142857--0.010612
2020-08-18---------00000-----7.5714290.25542-
2020-08-192811--------0000077--080.26005-0.010577
2020-08-202832--------00000219.10.7470650.747065010.2857140.345443-0.007936
2020-08-212837--------0000058.4850.1765540.661488-0.57051110.8571430.395059-0.066878
2020-08-222856--------000001910.062250.6697220.6627230.49316811.7142860.423566-0.010789
2020-08-232869--------000001310.5029130.4551820.631592-0.2145412.7142860.422114-0.028686
2020-08-242884--------000001511.1774760.522830.6152780.06764812.4285710.436607-0.028995
2020-08-252893--------00000910.8508540.3120670.569796-0.21076310.7142860.374249-0.028549
2020-08-262898--------0000059.9732260.1728310.510251-0.13923611.1428570.388341-0.038493
2020-08-272907--------0000099.8272420.3105590.4802980.1377289.7142860.336774-0.036377
2020-08-282915--------0000089.5531560.2751980.449533-0.03536190.310833-0.033747
2020-08-292924--------0000099.4701830.3087480.4284150.033557.2857140.25076-0.033915
2020-08-302932--------0000089.2496550.2735980.405192-0.035157.8571430.269455-0.051812
2020-08-312935--------0000038.3122070.1023190.359761-0.1712798.5714290.293224-0.063972
2020-09-012948--------00000139.0153760.442930.3722370.3406117.8571430.268176-0.021724
2020-09-022958--------00000109.1630690.3392130.367283-0.1037178.2857140.281915-0.029132
2020-09-032962--------0000048.3886090.1352270.332475-0.20398610.2857140.348327-0.043703
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2024-03-13------ITHITH1ITH1000000--------
GiornoTotale casiNoteNote testNote casiTotale positivi test antigenico rapidoTamponi test molecolareTamponi test antigenico rapidoCodice nuts 1Codice nuts 2Codice nuts 3Dose2 pregressa infPrima doseSeconda doseTerza doseUna dose a guaritiNuovi casiAndamento nuovi casi (MME)Percentuale nuovi casi %Andamento perc. nuovi casi % (MME)Variazione della perc. casiAnd. nuovi casi (MM7)Andamento perc. nuovi casi % (MM7)Variazione della perc. casi (MM7)
valori originali Protezione Civile.
valori calcolati a posteriori.
Ultimo aggiornamento: 2024-03-17 alle ore 10:13:17+01:00
Fonte dei dati: Protezione Civile
Ossevatorio COVID-19, repository, pannello: desktop, mobile
Questo servizio è fornito gratuitamente "as is", senza nessuna garanzia o responsabilità per eventuali errori o mancanze o qualunque danno derivante da un uso proprio o improprio dello strumento. Non è un servizio da usare per prendere decisioni o trarre conclusioni ma ha una mera utilità informativa.
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L'aggiornamento dei dati sul COVID da parte della Protezione Civile viene fatto una volta a giorno verso le 18:00, poco dopo viene aggiornato il pannello.

Aiuto / Info
Il pannello consente di osservare lo sviluppo dei contagi da COVID-19 (Coronavirus) nelle regioni e province italiane e in tutto il territorio.
Nelle regioni i dati riportati sono i seguenti:
Attenzione. Ho notato che a volte, nei dati forniti, alcuni valori totali cumulativi possono scendere (non dovrebbe essere possibile), è dovuto a correzioni o depennamenti successivi, ad esempio pazienti falsi positivi o assegnamenti ad altra provincia. In questi casi i valori di incremento (nuovi casi, etc..) risultano negativi, per quanto strano.

Nelle provincie la Protezione Civile fornisce solo il numero totale dei pazienti confermati positivi al COVID-19.

Alle colonne fornite dalla protezione civile vengono aggiunte alcune colonne calcolate al momento. Nelle provincie viene agiunta la variazione dei casi totali (la differenza tra il totale casi COVID del giorno e quello del giorno precedente). In province e regioni, viene aggiunta la percentuale dei nuovi contagiati COVID-19 sul totale contagiati del giorno precedente, facendo il rapporto tra i nuovi contagiati e il totale positivi (nelle regioni quest'ultimo dato è disponibile, mentre nelle province usiamo il totale casi, che non è accurato) tra oggi e ieri. In più, su quest'ultmo dato calcoliamo la media mobile esponenziale MME (EMA in inglese) per ammorbidire i picchi e analizzare l'andamento: una linea orizzontale corrisponde ad una crescita esponenziale (non bene, più è alta peggio è), però lo zero significa zero contagi, quindi una linea che scende verso lo zero è cosa buona.

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By Francesco Munafò\PANGOO Design (Milano)
Per il server si ringrazia RANGE (Genova)